Meridian Global Hydrav0.10.0
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DR Congo

Central Africa · COD

severe · 81.8

FEWS priority

Outflow sketch

957k

12-month corridor volume

Mortality risk

280k

Illustrative excess / year

Inbound drawdown

—

Extra pressure from arrivals

IPC-scale need

27.7M

Modelled people in need

FEWS phase

3

Crisis · 2026-07

Disease pressure

10.0

Baseline 5.5 · WHO outweighs CDC

Conflict pressure

9.4

Baseline 9.4 · fiercest area

Conflict areas

Highest intensity sets the country score. Extra areas add a smaller amount.

  • Eastern DRC conflict

    insurgency · 4

    North Kivu and Ituri · M23, other armed groups, FARDC

Fresh water

4.0

Baseline 3.8

Fertilizer

7.9

Baseline 7.9

Crop outlook

8.4

Baseline 7.8

Yield stress

8.2

Baseline 7.6

Rainfall stress

4.7

Baseline 4.2

Fuel shortage

9.1

Baseline 7.4

Mortality risk

9.3

Baseline 8.1

Migration pressure

7.8

Baseline 7.6

Fragility

9.0

Baseline 8.9

Food pressure

7.9

Baseline 8.5

Demography

8.6

Baseline 8.6

Amplifiers

10.0

Baseline 9.0

This cycle

Live delta +6.8 versus structural baseline

  • FEWS national phase 3 (Crisis) as of 2026-07
  • Brent +16.3% moved fuel stress +1.6
  • Disease pressure +4.8 (Ebola, Polio, Meningococcal). WHO outweighs a CDC-only notice
  • Yield stress rose with rainfall or a drought report. This is not a live NDVI download
  • Displacement signals raised modelled outflow pressure
  • Live conflict or displacement signals this cycle
FSI 2024
106.7
Food need (est.)
26%
Pop. growth (base)
3.20%
Pop. growth (live)
3.20%

Schematic corridors

Out to Uganda · 220k · conflict, food

Matched events

Assigned from this cycle’s ingest

Geometry

Radar versus the current top four; trend uses FSI-derived watch scores