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India

South Asia · IND

watch · 56.5

Outflow sketch

210k

12-month corridor volume

Mortality risk

80k

Illustrative excess / year

Inbound drawdown

—

Extra pressure from arrivals

IPC-scale need

25.0M

Modelled people in need

FEWS phase

—

No national brief this scan

Disease pressure

6.4

Baseline 3.3 · WHO outweighs CDC

Conflict pressure

2.4

Baseline 1.8 · fiercest area

Fresh water

7.5

Baseline 7.5

Fertilizer

5.0

Baseline 5.0

Crop outlook

5.4

Baseline 5.1

Yield stress

5.1

Baseline 4.9

Rainfall stress

5.5

Baseline 5.5

Fuel shortage

7.3

Baseline 5.3

Mortality risk

5.8

Baseline 4.8

Migration pressure

4.5

Baseline 3.8

Fragility

5.8

Baseline 5.5

Food pressure

5.8

Baseline 5.2

Demography

6.0

Baseline 6.0

Amplifiers

6.6

Baseline 5.2

This cycle

Live delta +7.3 versus structural baseline

  • Brent +16.3% moved fuel stress +1.6
  • Live war and armed-group reporting +0.6
  • Disease pressure +3.1 (Nipah, Measles). WHO outweighs a CDC-only notice
  • Yield stress rose with rainfall or a drought report. This is not a live NDVI download
  • Displacement signals raised modelled outflow pressure
  • Live conflict or displacement signals this cycle
FSI 2024
68.0
Food need (est.)
2%
Pop. growth (base)
0.80%
Pop. growth (live)
0.89%

No corridor sketch touches this country.

Matched events

Assigned from this cycle’s ingest

  • who · disease

    25 Jun 2026

    Nipah virus disease - India

    IND

  • cdc · disease

    28 May 2025

    Level 1 - Global Measles

    COD · CAF · SSD · DOM · PNG · GNB · CIV · BFA · SLE · ZAF · AFG · PHL · SLV · PRK · TLS · MDG · MOZ · MRT · BGD · GMB · KGZ · TJK · UZB · KAZ · AZE · LKA · VEN · GTM · NIC · ARG · IDN · ETH · PAK · ZWE · CMR · TZA · DJI · HND · COL · PRY · SWZ · BWA · KHM · THA · MYS · SOM · NGA · BDI · SEN · ERI · LBN · MMR · TUR · UKR · BOL · ECU · LBR · NAM · LSO · COM · TUN · DZA · MAR · VNM · ARM · GEO · MDA · MWI · UGA · RWA · AGO · ZMB · JOR · MEX · BRA · GIN · RUS · SDN · YEM · HTI · NER · SYR · KEN · GHA · IND · NPL · LBY · EGY · BEN · CHN · TCD · MLI · IRQ · IRN · CUB · PER · TGO · LAO

  • gdelt · conflict

    04 Oct 2026

    Assault: SENA and DOCTOR — Shiv

    IND

  • gdelt · conflict

    04 Oct 2026

    Assault: SENA and DOCTOR — Bombay

    IND

  • gdacs · storm

    22 Sept 2026

    Orange · Tropical Cyclone ONE-26

    IND

  • ifrc · flood

    26 Aug 2026

    IND: Flood - 08-2026 - Bihar Floods - 2026

    IND

Geometry

Radar versus the current top four; trend uses FSI-derived watch scores