Cycle 2026 · W40
The watch score is structural (FSI, food need, demography, amplifiers) plus live ingest. A new cycle opens each Monday 00:00 UTC. Ingest also refreshes on demand from the board.
28 Sept, 00:00 UTC
04 Oct, 23:33 UTC
05 Oct, 00:00 UTC
On-demand synthesis of this cycle. Not generated on page load.
No brief yet.
Live composite versus baseline composite
Yemen
86.8 → 90.9
South Sudan
85.2 → 89.8
Somalia
85.7 → 89.8
Sudan
85.6 → 88.4
Palestine
85.8 → 86.2
Afghanistan
81.2 → 85.1
Haiti
81.4 → 83.4
Niger
78.7 → 82.5
DR Congo
75.0 → 81.8
Chad
76.7 → 80.2
Syria
79.8 → 79.7
Mali
75.8 → 79.6
Central African Republic
74.3 → 78.5
Ethiopia
72.0 → 77.3
Nigeria
70.7 → 76.2
Burkina Faso
73.5 → 74.0
Pakistan
69.4 → 73.9
Eritrea
66.4 → 69.3
Djibouti
63.1 → 68.0
Myanmar
66.5 → 67.9
Cameroon
63.7 → 67.7
North Korea
64.7 → 67.3
Mozambique
66.2 → 66.8
Lebanon
63.3 → 65.0
Kenya
59.5 → 64.4
Ukraine
59.5 → 63.8
Zimbabwe
64.9 → 63.6
Mauritania
61.2 → 63.6
Iraq
61.8 → 63.5
Libya
61.2 → 63.2
Madagascar
63.3 → 62.7
Guinea
60.1 → 62.4
Uganda
55.5 → 62.3
Malawi
61.1 → 61.4
Sierra Leone
59.7 → 61.0
Venezuela
59.4 → 60.4
Burundi
61.4 → 60.3
Colombia
56.3 → 60.2
Liberia
58.1 → 60.2
Guinea-Bissau
57.7 → 59.8
Congo
54.3 → 59.5
Comoros
57.7 → 59.1
Guatemala
55.4 → 58.6
Honduras
54.4 → 57.4
Tanzania
52.7 → 56.9
Angola
56.7 → 56.8
Iran
52.7 → 56.5
India
49.2 → 56.5
Jordan
54.9 → 56.1
Nicaragua
52.2 → 56.1
Papua New Guinea
53.3 → 56.0
Bangladesh
53.1 → 55.9
Zambia
54.8 → 55.8
Cuba
51.1 → 55.7
The Gambia
53.7 → 55.0
Senegal
52.5 → 54.9
Egypt
53.5 → 54.8
Timor-Leste
53.4 → 54.8
Lesotho
55.5 → 54.5
Togo
50.9 → 54.1
Eswatini
52.4 → 53.7
El Salvador
50.4 → 52.8
Sri Lanka
50.0 → 52.2
Bolivia
48.9 → 52.2
South Africa
49.5 → 52.2
Tajikistan
50.8 → 52.2
Côte d'Ivoire
50.4 → 51.9
Namibia
48.8 → 51.8
Philippines
49.2 → 51.7
Mexico
47.5 → 51.5
Rwanda
50.1 → 51.4
Russia
46.9 → 51.1
Nepal
50.5 → 50.7
Cambodia
48.0 → 50.4
Benin
47.4 → 50.2
Peru
48.0 → 49.9
Laos
46.5 → 49.3
Ghana
47.9 → 49.2
Algeria
47.2 → 49.2
Kyrgyzstan
47.8 → 49.2
Ecuador
46.8 → 49.1
Tunisia
47.8 → 49.1
Uzbekistan
47.4 → 48.8
Armenia
46.4 → 48.2
Morocco
46.6 → 47.9
Moldova
45.0 → 47.7
Türkiye
45.8 → 47.2
Dominican Republic
44.4 → 47.2
Georgia
43.6 → 45.5
Azerbaijan
44.5 → 45.1
Botswana
43.6 → 45.0
Indonesia
41.5 → 44.3
China
41.8 → 43.2
Brazil
39.6 → 42.1
Vietnam
38.2 → 41.9
Thailand
38.7 → 40.8
Kazakhstan
39.9 → 40.5
Paraguay
37.4 → 38.8
Malaysia
34.9 → 37.4
Argentina
35.0 → 37.1
70 events pulled this run
cdc · disease
02 Oct 2026
BGD · LKA · COL · KHM · MYS · BOL · ECU · VNM · KEN · CUB
who · disease
25 Sept 2026
COD · SSD
cdc · disease
23 Sept 2026
COD · CAF · SSD · PNG · CIV · AFG · ETH · PAK · CMR · TZA · DJI · SOM · NGA · NAM · DZA · MWI · AGO · ZMB · SDN · YEM · NER · BEN · TCD · MLI · TGO · LAO
cdc · disease
18 Sept 2026
who · disease
10 Sept 2026
COD
cdc · disease
03 Sept 2026
NIC
cdc · disease
28 Aug 2026
COD · UGA
cdc · disease
26 Aug 2026
YEM
cdc · disease
25 Aug 2026
MRT · SOM · NGA · SEN · GIN · NER · TCD · MLI
who · disease
14 Aug 2026
COD · UGA
cdc · disease
07 Aug 2026
IDN
cdc · disease
04 Aug 2026
COD
cdc · disease
30 Jul 2026
who · disease
02 Jul 2026
who · disease
25 Jun 2026
IND
cdc · disease
25 Jun 2026
HTI
who · disease
24 Jun 2026
cdc · disease
11 Jun 2026
YEM
cdc · disease
04 Jun 2026
cdc · disease
04 Jun 2026
cdc · disease
02 Jun 2026
cdc · disease
14 May 2026
who · disease
13 May 2026
cdc · disease
24 Mar 2026
COD
cdc · disease
11 Feb 2026
BOL
cdc · disease
05 Feb 2026
cdc · disease
23 Dec 2025
MEX
cdc · disease
02 Sept 2025
COL
cdc · disease
28 May 2025
COD · CAF · SSD · DOM · PNG · GNB · CIV · BFA · SLE · ZAF · AFG · PHL · SLV · PRK · TLS · MDG · MOZ · MRT · BGD · GMB · KGZ · TJK · UZB · KAZ · AZE · LKA · VEN · GTM · NIC · ARG · IDN · ETH · PAK · ZWE · CMR · TZA · DJI · HND · COL · PRY · SWZ · BWA · KHM · THA · MYS · SOM · NGA · BDI · SEN · ERI · LBN · MMR · TUR · UKR · BOL · ECU · LBR · NAM · LSO · COM · TUN · DZA · MAR · VNM · ARM · GEO · MDA · MWI · UGA · RWA · AGO · ZMB · JOR · MEX · BRA · GIN · RUS · SDN · YEM · HTI · NER · SYR · KEN · GHA · IND · NPL · LBY · EGY · BEN · CHN · TCD · MLI · IRQ · IRN · CUB · PER · TGO · LAO
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
UKR
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
DJI
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
PRK
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
ETH
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
IRN
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
RUS
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
ZAF
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
CUB
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
BRA
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
IRQ
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
NGA
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
IRN
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
AFG
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
CAF
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
IND
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
IND
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
PAK
gdelt · conflict
04 Oct 2026
PAK
usgs · quake
02 Oct 2026
eonet · storm
30 Sept 2026
eonet · climate
30 Sept 2026
usgs · quake
29 Sept 2026
eonet · climate
29 Sept 2026
eonet · conflict
28 Sept 2026
eonet · storm
28 Sept 2026
eonet · storm
27 Sept 2026
ifrc · flood
27 Sept 2026
COD
eonet · climate
26 Sept 2026
eonet · climate
25 Sept 2026
eonet · storm
25 Sept 2026
eonet · climate
24 Sept 2026
eonet · storm
24 Sept 2026
eonet · storm
23 Sept 2026
eonet · climate
23 Sept 2026
gdacs · storm
22 Sept 2026
IND
eonet · climate
22 Sept 2026
ifrc · flood
22 Sept 2026
LBY
gdacs · storm
21 Sept 2026
MEX
ifrc · flood
21 Sept 2026
VNM
eonet · storm
21 Sept 2026
eonet · climate
20 Sept 2026